Grade profile estimator

The best-guess Ofsted grade in each evaluation area for any state school in England, based on publicly available data.

Step 1

Choose a school

Step 2

Estimated grade in each area

Each bar splits 100 schools with this profile into the three outcomes. Most likely area first.

Search for a school above, or pick one at random.

Step 3

Inspected schools like this one

The ten schools already inspected under the renewed framework whose results, absence, free school meals, deprivation and size sit closest to the figures above — and what they were actually graded. Every name links to the Ofsted report.

Choose a school first.

Step 4

Does the data actually track the grade?

Every school inspected under the renewed framework, one dot each, grouped by the grade it was actually given. Pick what to put on the horizontal axis and see how well the two line up.

Step 5

Change the figures

Move any input and every area updates. The model measures associations: changing one number here doesn't capture all the likely knock-on effects.

Choose a school first.

Detail

Look closer

How accurate is each area?
Method and caveats